Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 3.734589e-05 4.460703e-05 0.000052 0.000061 0.000072 0.000082 0.000095
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2.786437e-05 3.723092e-05 0.000048 0.000061 0.000077 0.000095 0.000116
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2.061191e-05 3.066084e-05 0.000043 0.000059 0.000079 0.000103 0.000132
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.560278e-05 2.576748e-05 0.000039 0.000057 0.000081 0.000110 0.000146
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.249729e-05 2.274846e-05 0.000037 0.000057 0.000085 0.000118 0.000163
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 9.700647e-06 1.959861e-05 0.000034 0.000056 0.000086 0.000124 0.000176
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 7.579092e-06 1.703625e-05 0.000032 0.000055 0.000087 0.000130 0.000188
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 5.824592e-06 1.468752e-05 0.000029 0.000053 0.000088 0.000135 0.000199
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.313316e-06 1.239537e-05 0.000027 0.000051 0.000087 0.000137 0.000208
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.056865e-06 1.022950e-05 0.000024 0.000048 0.000086 0.000138 0.000214
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.235904e-06 8.720601e-06 0.000022 0.000047 0.000086 0.000141 0.000223
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.064312e-06 8.717996e-06 0.000023 0.000049 0.000092 0.000154 0.000245
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.339628e-06 7.170729e-06 0.000021 0.000048 0.000094 0.000161 0.000261
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.852193e-07 6.097753e-06 0.000020 0.000048 0.000097 0.000170 0.000281
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.896558e-07 4.825216e-06 0.000018 0.000046 0.000097 0.000175 0.000296
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.519265e-07 3.829626e-06 0.000016 0.000045 0.000098 0.000181 0.000311
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.373244e-07 3.240215e-06 0.000015 0.000045 0.000101 0.000190 0.000332
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.615270e-08 2.577178e-06 0.000014 0.000043 0.000101 0.000196 0.000347
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.797544e-08 2.049841e-06 0.000013 0.000042 0.000102 0.000202 0.000364
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.940453e-09 1.580500e-06 0.000012 0.000041 0.000103 0.000207 0.000378
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.878090e-11 1.148151e-06 0.000010 0.000039 0.000102 0.000210 0.000390
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 7.780058e-07 0.000009 0.000037 0.000100 0.000211 0.000398
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 5.508876e-07 0.000008 0.000036 0.000100 0.000215 0.000410